Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate partly cloudy conditions with northeast winds moderating daytime heating in Taipei, positioning 31–32°C as the most probable maximum on September 17. Seasonal subtropical patterns, combined with weakening monsoon flow and limited cloud cover, support highs near or slightly above late-summer averages without strong convective cooling or intensification. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 32°C and 31% for 31°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing minimal deviation risk, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ account for potential model spread in humidity and insolation. Updated guidance from regional agencies on wind shifts and precipitation chances will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の台北の最高気温は?
32°C 46%
31℃ 33%
33℃ 13%
30℃ 11%
25℃以下
1%
26℃
2%
27℃
2%
28℃
2%
29℃
2%
30℃
11%
31℃
33%
32°C
46%
33℃
13%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
1%
32°C 46%
31℃ 33%
33℃ 13%
30℃ 11%
25℃以下
1%
26℃
2%
27℃
2%
28℃
2%
29℃
2%
30℃
11%
31℃
33%
32°C
46%
33℃
13%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate partly cloudy conditions with northeast winds moderating daytime heating in Taipei, positioning 31–32°C as the most probable maximum on September 17. Seasonal subtropical patterns, combined with weakening monsoon flow and limited cloud cover, support highs near or slightly above late-summer averages without strong convective cooling or intensification. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 32°C and 31% for 31°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing minimal deviation risk, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ account for potential model spread in humidity and insolation. Updated guidance from regional agencies on wind shifts and precipitation chances will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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