Current forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw's June 13 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C edging the market lead due to consensus on modest daytime warming under variable cloud cover. Thundery showers and light westerly flow could suppress peak readings by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals might allow brief spikes toward 21 °C. Ensemble spread remains notable this close to the event, reflecting typical uncertainty in short-range convection and boundary-layer processes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet recent model runs emphasize the moderating influence of Atlantic moisture and frontal activity. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 37%
19°C 32%
21°C 21%
18°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
32%
20°C
37%
21°C
21%
22°C or higher
5%
20°C 37%
19°C 32%
21°C 21%
18°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
32%
20°C
37%
21°C
21%
22°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw's June 13 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C edging the market lead due to consensus on modest daytime warming under variable cloud cover. Thundery showers and light westerly flow could suppress peak readings by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals might allow brief spikes toward 21 °C. Ensemble spread remains notable this close to the event, reflecting typical uncertainty in short-range convection and boundary-layer processes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet recent model runs emphasize the moderating influence of Atlantic moisture and frontal activity. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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