Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient U.S. economy continue to divide the FOMC ahead of the January 2027 meeting, with the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% amid market-implied odds favoring gradual tightening toward 4% by mid-2027. Recent July dissents by three officials advocating a hike underscore hawkish concerns over price stability, mirroring the April 8-4 split—the widest since 1992—while dot plot dispersion reveals varied 2026-2027 rate projections. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents, prices in policy uncertainty around the new chair's credibility and upcoming September data on CPI and labor conditions that could widen or narrow internal divisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか?
3 29%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
0
19%
1
20%
2
20%
3
29%
4人以上
16%
3 29%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
0
19%
1
20%
2
20%
3
29%
4人以上
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient U.S. economy continue to divide the FOMC ahead of the January 2027 meeting, with the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% amid market-implied odds favoring gradual tightening toward 4% by mid-2027. Recent July dissents by three officials advocating a hike underscore hawkish concerns over price stability, mirroring the April 8-4 split—the widest since 1992—while dot plot dispersion reveals varied 2026-2027 rate projections. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents, prices in policy uncertainty around the new chair's credibility and upcoming September data on CPI and labor conditions that could widen or narrow internal divisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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