United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 314 seats and benefits from Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, plus established administrative advantages that have delivered consistent majorities. Recent preparations, including candidate primaries emphasizing war veterans, the June 2026 decree fixing the vote date, and party list signals under Dmitry Medvedev, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority near or above the 2021 outcome of 324 seats. The narrow spread between the leading 325–339 and 340–354 ranges in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over exact single-mandate performance and turnout dynamics in a controlled environment, where modest shifts in regional results or opposition containment could widen the gap before September.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日325～339 44%
340–354 33%
355以上 10%
310〜324 8.3%
$65,788 Vol.
$65,788 Vol.
2026/09/20
280未満
1%
280～294
1%
295～309
5%
310〜324
8%
325～339
44%
340–354
33%
355以上
10%
325～339 44%
340–354 33%
355以上 10%
310〜324 8.3%
$65,788 Vol.
$65,788 Vol.
2026/09/20
280未満
$9,646 Vol.
1%
280～294
$6,318 Vol.
1%
295～309
$3,885 Vol.
5%
310〜324
$3,825 Vol.
8%
325～339
$13,970 Vol.
44%
340–354
$7,835 Vol.
33%
355以上
$20,309 Vol.
10%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 314 seats and benefits from Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, plus established administrative advantages that have delivered consistent majorities. Recent preparations, including candidate primaries emphasizing war veterans, the June 2026 decree fixing the vote date, and party list signals under Dmitry Medvedev, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority near or above the 2021 outcome of 324 seats. The narrow spread between the leading 325–339 and 340–354 ranges in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over exact single-mandate performance and turnout dynamics in a controlled environment, where modest shifts in regional results or opposition containment could widen the gap before September.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
音量
$65,788終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 314 seats and benefits from Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, plus established administrative advantages that have delivered consistent majorities. Recent preparations, including candidate primaries emphasizing war veterans, the June 2026 decree fixing the vote date, and party list signals under Dmitry Medvedev, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority near or above the 2021 outcome of 324 seats. The narrow spread between the leading 325–339 and 340–354 ranges in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over exact single-mandate performance and turnout dynamics in a controlled environment, where modest shifts in regional results or opposition containment could widen the gap before September.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$65,788終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 314 seats and benefits from Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, plus established administrative advantages that have delivered consistent majorities. Recent preparations, including candidate primaries emphasizing war veterans, the June 2026 decree fixing the vote date, and party list signals under Dmitry Medvedev, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority near or above the 2021 outcome of 324 seats. The narrow spread between the leading 325–339 and 340–354 ranges in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over exact single-mandate performance and turnout dynamics in a controlled environment, where modest shifts in regional results or opposition containment could widen the gap before September.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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