Recent reports show SpaceX accelerating its IPO timeline, with a June 11 pricing target and June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, supporting the 94% implied probability traders assign to a June outcome. This adjustment reflects a quicker-than-expected SEC review, enabling an imminent prospectus release and roadshow launch as early as June 4, alongside plans to raise as much as $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional interest and a large retail allocation further anchor market-implied odds around this window. While the current consensus reflects skin-in-the-game positioning, any slippage in regulatory milestones or broader equity market volatility could realistically shift resolution into July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月 94%
7月 4.9%
2027年以前にIPOなし <1%
9月 <1%
$366,242 Vol.
$366,242 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
94%
7月
5%
8月
<1%
9月
1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
6月 94%
7月 4.9%
2027年以前にIPOなし <1%
9月 <1%
$366,242 Vol.
$366,242 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
94%
7月
5%
8月
<1%
9月
1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports show SpaceX accelerating its IPO timeline, with a June 11 pricing target and June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, supporting the 94% implied probability traders assign to a June outcome. This adjustment reflects a quicker-than-expected SEC review, enabling an imminent prospectus release and roadshow launch as early as June 4, alongside plans to raise as much as $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional interest and a large retail allocation further anchor market-implied odds around this window. While the current consensus reflects skin-in-the-game positioning, any slippage in regulatory milestones or broader equity market volatility could realistically shift resolution into July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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