U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win Iowa's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, reflecting his fundraising dominance, endorsements from Sen. Joni Ernst and former Gov. Terry Branstad, and incumbency advantage as traders bet he clears the 35% threshold for outright nomination amid a fragmented five-candidate field. Businessman Zach Lahn (15.8%), backed by self-funding and the Make America Healthy Again movement, and Adam Steen (10%), endorsed by influential evangelical Bob Vander Plaats of The Family Leader, have surged among social conservatives via recent forums like the May 1 Iowa Faith & Freedom Coalition event, risking a June 13 state convention if Feenstra underperforms. Early voting began May 13, with Feenstra's push for year-round E15 ethanol boosting his agriculture appeal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ランディ・フィーンストラ 73%
ザック・ラーン 15.6%
アダム・スティーン 10%
ブラッド・シャーマン 2.2%
$23,085 Vol.
$23,085 Vol.
ランディ・フィーンストラ
73%
ザック・ラーン
16%
アダム・スティーン
10%
ブラッド・シャーマン
2%
エディ・アンドリュース
2%
ランディ・フィーンストラ 73%
ザック・ラーン 15.6%
アダム・スティーン 10%
ブラッド・シャーマン 2.2%
$23,085 Vol.
$23,085 Vol.
ランディ・フィーンストラ
73%
ザック・ラーン
16%
アダム・スティーン
10%
ブラッド・シャーマン
2%
エディ・アンドリュース
2%
If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 9, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win Iowa's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, reflecting his fundraising dominance, endorsements from Sen. Joni Ernst and former Gov. Terry Branstad, and incumbency advantage as traders bet he clears the 35% threshold for outright nomination amid a fragmented five-candidate field. Businessman Zach Lahn (15.8%), backed by self-funding and the Make America Healthy Again movement, and Adam Steen (10%), endorsed by influential evangelical Bob Vander Plaats of The Family Leader, have surged among social conservatives via recent forums like the May 1 Iowa Faith & Freedom Coalition event, risking a June 13 state convention if Feenstra underperforms. Early voting began May 13, with Feenstra's push for year-round E15 ethanol boosting his agriculture appeal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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