Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus expectations of 54.5, anchors trader focus on the August release due September 3. The index has held in a narrow 54.0–54.5 band since May, reflecting steady services expansion amid resilient business activity and new orders, offset by renewed employment contraction and elevated prices pressures near 70. Event-driven lifts from the World Cup and U.S. anniversary celebrations appear to have faded, while tariff and geopolitical concerns have eased in respondent comments. With probabilities tightly split between the 53.0–53.9 and 54.0–54.9 buckets, markets price in modest downside risk from softening labor trends and potential post-event normalization, tempered by the sector’s underlying demand strength and low historical volatility around this level.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日54.0–54.9 31%
53.0–53.9 30%
56.0–56.9 23.0%
55.0–55.9 17%
$23,562 Vol.
$23,562 Vol.
2026/09/03
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
1%
51.0–51.9
1%
52.0–52.9
16%
53.0–53.9
30%
54.0–54.9
31%
55.0–55.9
17%
56.0–56.9
23%
57.0–57.9
2%
58.0+
1%
54.0–54.9 31%
53.0–53.9 30%
56.0–56.9 23.0%
55.0–55.9 17%
$23,562 Vol.
$23,562 Vol.
2026/09/03
<50.0
$523 Vol.
1%
50.0–50.9
$575 Vol.
1%
51.0–51.9
$604 Vol.
1%
52.0–52.9
$3,568 Vol.
16%
53.0–53.9
$8,738 Vol.
30%
54.0–54.9
$3,818 Vol.
31%
55.0–55.9
$3,832 Vol.
17%
56.0–56.9
$614 Vol.
23%
57.0–57.9
$667 Vol.
2%
58.0+
$624 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus expectations of 54.5, anchors trader focus on the August release due September 3. The index has held in a narrow 54.0–54.5 band since May, reflecting steady services expansion amid resilient business activity and new orders, offset by renewed employment contraction and elevated prices pressures near 70. Event-driven lifts from the World Cup and U.S. anniversary celebrations appear to have faded, while tariff and geopolitical concerns have eased in respondent comments. With probabilities tightly split between the 53.0–53.9 and 54.0–54.9 buckets, markets price in modest downside risk from softening labor trends and potential post-event normalization, tempered by the sector’s underlying demand strength and low historical volatility around this level.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
音量
$23,562終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus expectations of 54.5, anchors trader focus on the August release due September 3. The index has held in a narrow 54.0–54.5 band since May, reflecting steady services expansion amid resilient business activity and new orders, offset by renewed employment contraction and elevated prices pressures near 70. Event-driven lifts from the World Cup and U.S. anniversary celebrations appear to have faded, while tariff and geopolitical concerns have eased in respondent comments. With probabilities tightly split between the 53.0–53.9 and 54.0–54.9 buckets, markets price in modest downside risk from softening labor trends and potential post-event normalization, tempered by the sector’s underlying demand strength and low historical volatility around this level.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$23,562終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus expectations of 54.5, anchors trader focus on the August release due September 3. The index has held in a narrow 54.0–54.5 band since May, reflecting steady services expansion amid resilient business activity and new orders, offset by renewed employment contraction and elevated prices pressures near 70. Event-driven lifts from the World Cup and U.S. anniversary celebrations appear to have faded, while tariff and geopolitical concerns have eased in respondent comments. With probabilities tightly split between the 53.0–53.9 and 54.0–54.9 buckets, markets price in modest downside risk from softening labor trends and potential post-event normalization, tempered by the sector’s underlying demand strength and low historical volatility around this level.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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