Direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, brokered by the United States, concluded in Washington on May 15, 2026, producing a 45-day extension of the April 16 cessation of hostilities. The negotiations center on Israeli demands for Hezbollah’s full disarmament and Lebanese state control south of the Litani River, alongside Lebanese calls for an end to Israeli strikes and troop withdrawals. Ongoing Israeli operations against Hezbollah infrastructure have continued despite the truce, while Hezbollah has rejected participation in the process. A further round of ambassador-level discussions is scheduled soon, with traders monitoring any shift toward formal bilateral meetings or escalation signals from either side that could alter the timeline for direct diplomatic engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,170 Vol.
2026/05/31
May 31
3%
$29,170 Vol.
May 31
$10,368 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, brokered by the United States, concluded in Washington on May 15, 2026, producing a 45-day extension of the April 16 cessation of hostilities. The negotiations center on Israeli demands for Hezbollah’s full disarmament and Lebanese state control south of the Litani River, alongside Lebanese calls for an end to Israeli strikes and troop withdrawals. Ongoing Israeli operations against Hezbollah infrastructure have continued despite the truce, while Hezbollah has rejected participation in the process. A further round of ambassador-level discussions is scheduled soon, with traders monitoring any shift toward formal bilateral meetings or escalation signals from either side that could alter the timeline for direct diplomatic engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
音量
$29,170終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, brokered by the United States, concluded in Washington on May 15, 2026, producing a 45-day extension of the April 16 cessation of hostilities. The negotiations center on Israeli demands for Hezbollah’s full disarmament and Lebanese state control south of the Litani River, alongside Lebanese calls for an end to Israeli strikes and troop withdrawals. Ongoing Israeli operations against Hezbollah infrastructure have continued despite the truce, while Hezbollah has rejected participation in the process. A further round of ambassador-level discussions is scheduled soon, with traders monitoring any shift toward formal bilateral meetings or escalation signals from either side that could alter the timeline for direct diplomatic engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$29,170終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, brokered by the United States, concluded in Washington on May 15, 2026, producing a 45-day extension of the April 16 cessation of hostilities. The negotiations center on Israeli demands for Hezbollah’s full disarmament and Lebanese state control south of the Litani River, alongside Lebanese calls for an end to Israeli strikes and troop withdrawals. Ongoing Israeli operations against Hezbollah infrastructure have continued despite the truce, while Hezbollah has rejected participation in the process. A further round of ambassador-level discussions is scheduled soon, with traders monitoring any shift toward formal bilateral meetings or escalation signals from either side that could alter the timeline for direct diplomatic engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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