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icon for KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·民主党予備選挙

KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·民主党予備選挙

KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Zach Dembo 78%

Cherlynn Stevenson 21%

Erin Petrey 2.1%

David Kloiber 1.5%

Polymarket
新規

Zach Dembo 78%

Cherlynn Stevenson 21%

Erin Petrey 2.1%

David Kloiber 1.5%

Polymarket
新規

Zach Dembo

$2,083 Vol.

78%

Cherlynn Stevenson

$1,101 Vol.

25%

Erin Petrey

$477 Vol.

2%

David Kloiber

$354 Vol.

1%

Harvey Carroll

$311 Vol.

1%

Jimmy Ausbrooks

$332 Vol.

<1%

Corey Edwards

$488 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent endorsements from the Lexington Herald-Leader editorial board, former U.S. Rep. Ben Chandler, and former Lexington Mayor Jim Gray have strengthened Zach Dembo’s position ahead of the May 19 Democratic primary for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district. Traders see these establishment signals, combined with Dembo’s fundraising advantage and veteran background, as key drivers of his 75.5% implied probability. Cherlynn Stevenson maintains support from Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman and former Gov. Paul Patton, sustaining her 22.5% share through name recognition from prior state House service. The remaining candidates trail at low single digits amid limited visibility. With the primary just days away, recent debate performances and general-election polling have further tilted trader consensus toward Dembo as the stronger nominee to challenge the open Republican seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$5,147
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent endorsements from the Lexington Herald-Leader editorial board, former U.S. Rep. Ben Chandler, and former Lexington Mayor Jim Gray have strengthened Zach Dembo’s position ahead of the May 19 Democratic primary for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district. Traders see these establishment signals, combined with Dembo’s fundraising advantage and veteran background, as key drivers of his 75.5% implied probability. Cherlynn Stevenson maintains support from Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman and former Gov. Paul Patton, sustaining her 22.5% share through name recognition from prior state House service. The remaining candidates trail at low single digits amid limited visibility. With the primary just days away, recent debate performances and general-election polling have further tilted trader consensus toward Dembo as the stronger nominee to challenge the open Republican seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$5,147
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Zach Dembo」で78%、次いで「Cherlynn Stevenson」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 14, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Zach Dembo」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Cherlynn Stevenson」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。