Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026 Saeima election, with steady support around 17-19% that exceeds rivals and reflects regional and right-leaning voter consolidation. LPV and SV trail at 14-17% amid fragmented opposition dynamics, while PRO hovers near 12-14% and smaller parties like NA and JV register single digits. The incumbent coalition faces headwinds from low combined polling, economic pressures, and security concerns tied to regional tensions, limiting their path to plurality. With the five-percent threshold and coalition-formation requirements ahead, traders price AS highest due to its consistent lead in July surveys and limited late shifts in the 50-day window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AS 54.4%
LPV 20%
SV 18.1%
PRO 6.4%
$182,658 Vol.
$182,658 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
54%
LPV
20%
SV
18%
PRO
6%
JV
3%
NA
2%
ZZS
<1%
ST！
<1%
S
<1%
AS 54.4%
LPV 20%
SV 18.1%
PRO 6.4%
$182,658 Vol.
$182,658 Vol.
2026/10/03
AS
$31,137 Vol.
54%
LPV
$21,910 Vol.
20%
SV
$21,071 Vol.
18%
PRO
$28,714 Vol.
6%
JV
$12,040 Vol.
3%
NA
$7,663 Vol.
2%
ZZS
$52,839 Vol.
<1%
ST！
$3,123 Vol.
<1%
S
$4,161 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026 Saeima election, with steady support around 17-19% that exceeds rivals and reflects regional and right-leaning voter consolidation. LPV and SV trail at 14-17% amid fragmented opposition dynamics, while PRO hovers near 12-14% and smaller parties like NA and JV register single digits. The incumbent coalition faces headwinds from low combined polling, economic pressures, and security concerns tied to regional tensions, limiting their path to plurality. With the five-percent threshold and coalition-formation requirements ahead, traders price AS highest due to its consistent lead in July surveys and limited late shifts in the 50-day window.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$182,658終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026 Saeima election, with steady support around 17-19% that exceeds rivals and reflects regional and right-leaning voter consolidation. LPV and SV trail at 14-17% amid fragmented opposition dynamics, while PRO hovers near 12-14% and smaller parties like NA and JV register single digits. The incumbent coalition faces headwinds from low combined polling, economic pressures, and security concerns tied to regional tensions, limiting their path to plurality. With the five-percent threshold and coalition-formation requirements ahead, traders price AS highest due to its consistent lead in July surveys and limited late shifts in the 50-day window.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$182,658終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026 Saeima election, with steady support around 17-19% that exceeds rivals and reflects regional and right-leaning voter consolidation. LPV and SV trail at 14-17% amid fragmented opposition dynamics, while PRO hovers near 12-14% and smaller parties like NA and JV register single digits. The incumbent coalition faces headwinds from low combined polling, economic pressures, and security concerns tied to regional tensions, limiting their path to plurality. With the five-percent threshold and coalition-formation requirements ahead, traders price AS highest due to its consistent lead in July surveys and limited late shifts in the 50-day window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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