Recent forecast guidance from European models shows substantial spread for Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25, producing the near-even market split between a cool outcome (9 °C or below) and a mild one (19 °C or higher). A weak frontal boundary and variable high pressure are expected to influence the region, with differences in cloud cover and wind speed determining how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower end of the distribution near or below 12 °C, while increased moisture or breezier flow would limit the drop and support readings closer to 15–17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide two days out, and the next KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
8月25日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9°C or below 88%
19°C以上 85%
13°C 49%
12°C 44%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
9°C or below
88%
10°C
33%
11°C
43%
12°C
44%
13°C
49%
14°C
27%
15°C
43%
16°C
17%
17°C
43%
18°C
33%
19°C以上
85%
9°C or below 88%
19°C以上 85%
13°C 49%
12°C 44%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
88%
10°C
$5 Vol.
33%
11°C
$0 Vol.
43%
12°C
$0 Vol.
44%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
43%
18°C
$5 Vol.
33%
19°C以上
$5 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models shows substantial spread for Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25, producing the near-even market split between a cool outcome (9 °C or below) and a mild one (19 °C or higher). A weak frontal boundary and variable high pressure are expected to influence the region, with differences in cloud cover and wind speed determining how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower end of the distribution near or below 12 °C, while increased moisture or breezier flow would limit the drop and support readings closer to 15–17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide two days out, and the next KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models shows substantial spread for Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25, producing the near-even market split between a cool outcome (9 °C or below) and a mild one (19 °C or higher). A weak frontal boundary and variable high pressure are expected to influence the region, with differences in cloud cover and wind speed determining how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower end of the distribution near or below 12 °C, while increased moisture or breezier flow would limit the drop and support readings closer to 15–17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide two days out, and the next KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from European models shows substantial spread for Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25, producing the near-even market split between a cool outcome (9 °C or below) and a mild one (19 °C or higher). A weak frontal boundary and variable high pressure are expected to influence the region, with differences in cloud cover and wind speed determining how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower end of the distribution near or below 12 °C, while increased moisture or breezier flow would limit the drop and support readings closer to 15–17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide two days out, and the next KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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