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icon for 5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?

5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?

icon for 5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?

5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?

7°C 36%

6°C 26%

8°C 20%

5°C 13%

Polymarket
新規

7°C 36%

6°C 26%

8°C 20%

5°C 13%

Polymarket
新規

1℃以下

$316 Vol.

<1%

2°C

$230 Vol.

<1%

3°C

$203 Vol.

1%

4℃

$69 Vol.

1%

5°C

$258 Vol.

13%

6°C

$146 Vol.

28%

7°C

$111 Vol.

36%

8°C

$173 Vol.

20%

9°C

$144 Vol.

2%

10°C

$312 Vol.

<1%

11°C以上

$1,815 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 6-8°C for London's lowest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest Met Office guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts projecting nocturnal minimums in this range amid persistent low-pressure influence. Recent observations from May 10-12 show below-average lows of 4-6°C under showery conditions and light northerly winds, establishing a cool mid-May pattern cooler than the 7-11°C climatological baseline at Heathrow. Key differentiators include overnight cloud cover—persistent stratus could cap cooling at 8°C—versus clearer skies promoting radiative cooling toward 6°C, with light winds amplifying uncertainty. Resolution draws from Wunderground's official London record; watch Met Office's twice-daily updates and model refreshes for shifts ahead of the May 13-14 night.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,776
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 6-8°C for London's lowest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest Met Office guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts projecting nocturnal minimums in this range amid persistent low-pressure influence. Recent observations from May 10-12 show below-average lows of 4-6°C under showery conditions and light northerly winds, establishing a cool mid-May pattern cooler than the 7-11°C climatological baseline at Heathrow. Key differentiators include overnight cloud cover—persistent stratus could cap cooling at 8°C—versus clearer skies promoting radiative cooling toward 6°C, with light winds amplifying uncertainty. Resolution draws from Wunderground's official London record; watch Met Office's twice-daily updates and model refreshes for shifts ahead of the May 13-14 night.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,776
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「7°C」で36%、次いで「6°C」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 11, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「7°C」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6°C」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月14日のロンドンの最低気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。