Recent forecast model runs and surface observations from the Met Office and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for London on September 12, 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows have stabilized around 13–15°C amid dew points near 12–14°C and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September where average minima reach about 12°C. Trader consensus at 99.1% for 14°C reflects this tight model agreement and ongoing real-time data. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly shift, though current steering patterns and humidity make such a drop below 13°C unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月12日のロンドンの最低気温は？
14℃ 99.0%
10℃ 1.1%
11℃ <1%
12°C <1%
$12,150 Vol.
$12,150 Vol.
2026/09/12
8℃以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10℃
1%
11℃
1%
12°C
1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
99%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
14℃ 99.0%
10℃ 1.1%
11℃ <1%
12°C <1%
$12,150 Vol.
$12,150 Vol.
2026/09/12
8℃以下
$57 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$214 Vol.
1%
11℃
$325 Vol.
1%
12°C
$584 Vol.
1%
13℃
$1,649 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$4,914 Vol.
99%
15°C
$2,156 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
18℃以上
$973 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and surface observations from the Met Office and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for London on September 12, 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows have stabilized around 13–15°C amid dew points near 12–14°C and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September where average minima reach about 12°C. Trader consensus at 99.1% for 14°C reflects this tight model agreement and ongoing real-time data. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly shift, though current steering patterns and humidity make such a drop below 13°C unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$12,150終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and surface observations from the Met Office and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for London on September 12, 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows have stabilized around 13–15°C amid dew points near 12–14°C and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September where average minima reach about 12°C. Trader consensus at 99.1% for 14°C reflects this tight model agreement and ongoing real-time data. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly shift, though current steering patterns and humidity make such a drop below 13°C unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,150終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast model runs and surface observations from the Met Office and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for London on September 12, 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows have stabilized around 13–15°C amid dew points near 12–14°C and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September where average minima reach about 12°C. Trader consensus at 99.1% for 14°C reflects this tight model agreement and ongoing real-time data. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly shift, though current steering patterns and humidity make such a drop below 13°C unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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