**Mild overnight conditions driven by a warm air mass and light southwesterly winds are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 17–18°C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate minimums around 16°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, with actual station readings from sites such as London City Airport and Heathrow trending slightly higher into the upper teens. This aligns with the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability on 18°C and 16.5% on 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops given the current synoptic pattern. Historical September averages for central London hover near 12–14°C, so the elevated readings represent above-normal warmth that could shift only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper wind shift before final observations close the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のロンドンの最低気温は?
18℃ 100.0%
12℃以下 <1%
13℃ <1%
14°C <1%
$10,956 Vol.
$10,956 Vol.
12℃以下
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
はい
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃以上
いいえ
18℃ 100.0%
12℃以下 <1%
13℃ <1%
14°C <1%
$10,956 Vol.
$10,956 Vol.
12℃以下
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
はい
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Mild overnight conditions driven by a warm air mass and light southwesterly winds are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 17–18°C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate minimums around 16°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, with actual station readings from sites such as London City Airport and Heathrow trending slightly higher into the upper teens. This aligns with the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability on 18°C and 16.5% on 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops given the current synoptic pattern. Historical September averages for central London hover near 12–14°C, so the elevated readings represent above-normal warmth that could shift only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper wind shift before final observations close the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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