Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
8月28日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
16°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
10°C以下 <1%
11°C <1%
$2,207 Vol.
$2,207 Vol.
2026/08/28
10°C以下
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16°C
はい
17°C
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃以上
いいえ
16°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
10°C以下 <1%
11°C <1%
$2,207 Vol.
$2,207 Vol.
2026/08/28
10°C以下
$55 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$82 Vol.
いいえ
12℃
$257 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$724 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$91 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$38 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$439 Vol.
はい
17°C
$317 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$69 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$94 Vol.
いいえ
20℃以上
$40 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
音量
$2,207終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,207終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問