Current forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Incheon on September 16 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure. Multiple models converge on overnight lows near 15–17°C after daytime highs around 27–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 97.5% implied probability for 16°C. A realistic shift would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or a late-model revision showing greater radiative cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance show little sign of such change before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
16℃ 98%
15℃ 2%
12℃ 1.0%
14℃ <1%
$11,973 Vol.
$11,973 Vol.
11℃以下
1%
12℃
1%
13℃
1%
14℃
1%
15℃
2%
16℃
98%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
16℃ 98%
15℃ 2%
12℃ 1.0%
14℃ <1%
$11,973 Vol.
$11,973 Vol.
11℃以下
1%
12℃
1%
13℃
1%
14℃
1%
15℃
2%
16℃
98%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Incheon on September 16 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure. Multiple models converge on overnight lows near 15–17°C after daytime highs around 27–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 97.5% implied probability for 16°C. A realistic shift would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or a late-model revision showing greater radiative cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance show little sign of such change before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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