Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日の鄭州の最低気温は?
24°C 100.0%
22℃ 1.0%
15℃以下 <1%
16℃ <1%
$3,483 Vol.
$3,483 Vol.
15℃以下
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
はい
25°C以上
いいえ
24°C 100.0%
22℃ 1.0%
15℃以下 <1%
16℃ <1%
$3,483 Vol.
$3,483 Vol.
15℃以下
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
はい
25°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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