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icon for マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?

マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?

icon for マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?

マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?

$593,647 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$593,647 Vol.

Polymarket

6月30日

$142,411 Vol.

11%

12月31日

$135,258 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian's position as Iran's president faces scrutiny amid acute economic pressures from a US naval blockade imposed in April 2026, which has curtailed oil exports and fueled fears of salary payment failures and regime collapse, as highlighted in his reported April 14 outburst after failed Pakistan talks. A pivotal May 7 meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, lasting 2.5 hours and portrayed as unified and trusting, has quashed recent rumors of leadership rifts, with Pezeshkian publicly emphasizing solidarity. No Majlis impeachment or dismissal has advanced despite IRGC criticism of his negotiation stance toward US peace proposals, though stalled diplomacy and hardliner pushback sustain uncertainty over his tenure through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$593,647
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian's position as Iran's president faces scrutiny amid acute economic pressures from a US naval blockade imposed in April 2026, which has curtailed oil exports and fueled fears of salary payment failures and regime collapse, as highlighted in his reported April 14 outburst after failed Pakistan talks. A pivotal May 7 meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, lasting 2.5 hours and portrayed as unified and trusting, has quashed recent rumors of leadership rifts, with Pezeshkian publicly emphasizing solidarity. No Majlis impeachment or dismissal has advanced despite IRGC criticism of his negotiation stance toward US peace proposals, though stalled diplomacy and hardliner pushback sustain uncertainty over his tenure through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$593,647
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で25%、次いで「6月30日」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、25¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に25%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?」は$593.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 8, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で25%であり、市場がこの結果に25%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マスード・ペゼシュキアンが... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。