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政治·プライマリ

ニューメキシコ州知事民主党予備選

icon for ニューメキシコ州知事民主党予備選
政治·プライマリ

ニューメキシコ州知事民主党予備選

デブ・ハーランド 92%

サム・ブレグマン 9%

ケン・ミヤギシマ <1%

Polymarket

$26,951 Vol.

デブ・ハーランド 92%

サム・ブレグマン 9%

ケン・ミヤギシマ <1%

Polymarket

$26,951 Vol.

デブ・ハーランド

$11,283 Vol.

92%

サム・ブレグマン

$12,431 Vol.

9%

ケン・ミヤギシマ

$3,236 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by consistent double-digit leads in late April polls from Emerson College and Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling, alongside her fundraising dominance exceeding $4 million compared to challenger Sam Bregman's totals. Her March pre-primary convention victory with 73% delegate support and national name recognition as the first Native American Cabinet secretary bolster this positioning, reinforced by their sole May debate where she held firm on issues like data centers and affordability. Bernalillo County DA Bregman trails at 9% on crime-fighting credentials, while ex-Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima lingers at 0.3% after switching to independent. Late scandals, health issues, or a Bregman surge among undecided urban voters could challenge her path.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$26,951
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by consistent double-digit leads in late April polls from Emerson College and Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling, alongside her fundraising dominance exceeding $4 million compared to challenger Sam Bregman's totals. Her March pre-primary convention victory with 73% delegate support and national name recognition as the first Native American Cabinet secretary bolster this positioning, reinforced by their sole May debate where she held firm on issues like data centers and affordability. Bernalillo County DA Bregman trails at 9% on crime-fighting credentials, while ex-Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima lingers at 0.3% after switching to independent. Late scandals, health issues, or a Bregman surge among undecided urban voters could challenge her path.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$26,951
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「ニューメキシコ州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「デブ・ハーランド」で92%、次いで「サム・ブレグマン」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューメキシコ州知事民主党予備選」は$27Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューメキシコ州知事民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューメキシコ州知事民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「デブ・ハーランド」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「サム・ブレグマン」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューメキシコ州知事民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。