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選挙·ニューカレドニア選挙

ニューカレドニアの次期大統領

icon for ニューカレドニアの次期大統領
選挙·ニューカレドニア選挙

ニューカレドニアの次期大統領

アルシド・ポンガ 54%

ソニア・バケス 18%

ジョアニト・ワミタン 7%

ヴァージニー・ルフェナック 5.2%

Polymarket

$13,874 Vol.

アルシド・ポンガ 54%

ソニア・バケス 18%

ジョアニト・ワミタン 7%

ヴァージニー・ルフェナック 5.2%

Polymarket

$13,874 Vol.

icon for アルシド・ポンガ

アルシド・ポンガ

$7,678 Vol.

54%

icon for ソニア・バケス

ソニア・バケス

$1,830 Vol.

18%

icon for ジョアニト・ワミタン

ジョアニト・ワミタン

$276 Vol.

7%

icon for ヴァージニー・ルフェナック

ヴァージニー・ルフェナック

$196 Vol.

5%

icon for ピエール・シャネル・トゥトゥゴロ

ピエール・シャネル・トゥトゥゴロ

$2,030 Vol.

5%

icon for ルイ・マプ

ルイ・マプ

$223 Vol.

3%

icon for ミラクロ・トゥクムリ

ミラクロ・トゥクムリ

$205 Vol.

3%

icon for ニコラ・メッツドルフ

ニコラ・メッツドルフ

$148 Vol.

3%

icon for ポール・ネアウチネ

ポール・ネアウチネ

$219 Vol.

3%

icon for ジャン・ピエール・ジャイウェ

ジャン・ピエール・ジャイウェ

$206 Vol.

3%

icon for クリストファー・ジジェス

クリストファー・ジジェス

$206 Vol.

2%

icon for パスカル・サワ

パスカル・サワ

$203 Vol.

2%

icon for ギル・ブリアル

ギル・ブリアル

$205 Vol.

1%

icon for ギルベール・チュイエノン

ギルベール・チュイエノン

$251 Vol.

1%

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 28 provincial elections, which will determine the makeup of New Caledonia’s Congress and its next government president, remain highly fragmented with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority. Recent voter-roll adjustments, the rejection of the Bougival Accord by key independence groups, and lingering effects of the 2024 unrest have kept loyalist and pro-independence lists competitive across provinces. Incumbent Alcide Ponga’s current administration provides continuity for some traders, while multiple lists headed by figures such as Sonia Backès, Virginie Ruffenach, Louis Mapou, and Pierre-Chanel Tutugoro reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and the collegial selection process for the government president. With polls just days away and post-election talks scheduled for July, the balanced pricing captures uncertainty over final seat distributions and potential cross-bloc deals.

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$13,874
終了日
2027/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 28 provincial elections, which will determine the makeup of New Caledonia’s Congress and its next government president, remain highly fragmented with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority. Recent voter-roll adjustments, the rejection of the Bougival Accord by key independence groups, and lingering effects of the 2024 unrest have kept loyalist and pro-independence lists competitive across provinces. Incumbent Alcide Ponga’s current administration provides continuity for some traders, while multiple lists headed by figures such as Sonia Backès, Virginie Ruffenach, Louis Mapou, and Pierre-Chanel Tutugoro reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and the collegial selection process for the government president. With polls just days away and post-election talks scheduled for July, the balanced pricing captures uncertainty over final seat distributions and potential cross-bloc deals.

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$13,874
終了日
2027/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ニューカレドニアの次期大統領」はPolymarket上の14個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アルシド・ポンガ」で54%、次いで「ソニア・バケス」が18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、54¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に54%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューカレドニアの次期大統領」は$13.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jun 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューカレドニアの次期大統領」で取引するには、このページに記載されている14個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューカレドニアの次期大統領」の現在のフロントランナーは「アルシド・ポンガ」で54%であり、市場がこの結果に54%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ソニア・バケス」で18%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューカレドニアの次期大統領」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。