Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a recent Schoen Cooperman Research poll of likely voters—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing him ahead 47%-42% over incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman. Lander's high name recognition in the district's Brooklyn strongholds like Park Slope bolsters his position, augmented by endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and SEIU 32BJ. Goldman, at 18.5%, counters with self-funding millions, a May 11 rally alongside Gov. Kathy Hochul, and today's UFT endorsement, yet traders price in Lander's edge amid progressive vs. establishment tensions. Other candidates trail with negligible support due to limited traction. Late shifts from spending or endorsements could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ブラッド・ランダー 83%
ダン・ゴールドマン 18%
キャメロン・カスキー <1%
アレクサ・アヴィレス <1%
$11,942 Vol.
$11,942 Vol.
ブラッド・ランダー
83%
ダン・ゴールドマン
18%
キャメロン・カスキー
<1%
アレクサ・アヴィレス
<1%
ユーライン・ニュー
<1%
ブラッド・ランダー 83%
ダン・ゴールドマン 18%
キャメロン・カスキー <1%
アレクサ・アヴィレス <1%
$11,942 Vol.
$11,942 Vol.
ブラッド・ランダー
83%
ダン・ゴールドマン
18%
キャメロン・カスキー
<1%
アレクサ・アヴィレス
<1%
ユーライン・ニュー
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a recent Schoen Cooperman Research poll of likely voters—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing him ahead 47%-42% over incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman. Lander's high name recognition in the district's Brooklyn strongholds like Park Slope bolsters his position, augmented by endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and SEIU 32BJ. Goldman, at 18.5%, counters with self-funding millions, a May 11 rally alongside Gov. Kathy Hochul, and today's UFT endorsement, yet traders price in Lander's edge amid progressive vs. establishment tensions. Other candidates trail with negligible support due to limited traction. Late shifts from spending or endorsements could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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