Recent polls, including Emerson College (May 9-10) showing Xavier Becerra (D) at 20% and Steve Hilton (R) at 19%, alongside Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) with Hilton leading Becerra 22%-20%, position one Democrat and one Republican to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary, driving trader consensus to 73.5% on Dem-Rep. In the final debate on May 14, rivals ganged up on frontrunner Becerra over ethics scandals, including a former strategist's fraud guilty plea that day and HHS migrant placement criticisms, yet he framed attacks as frontrunner proof while defending his record. GOP consolidation behind Hilton, bolstered by his polling surge post-Eric Swalwell's April dropout, reduces Dem-Dem odds to 24.5%, with Rep-Rep at 3.3% amid Democratic voter dominance. High undecideds and early voting underway keep the field fluid ahead of ballots resolving top-two spots.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党・共和党 74%
民主－民主 24%
共和党-共和党 3.3%
$72,000 Vol.
$72,000 Vol.
2026/06/02
民主党・共和党
74%
民主－民主
24%
共和党-共和党
3%
民主党・共和党 74%
民主－民主 24%
共和党-共和党 3.3%
$72,000 Vol.
$72,000 Vol.
2026/06/02
民主党・共和党
$30,396 Vol.
74%
民主－民主
$30,005 Vol.
24%
共和党-共和党
$11,599 Vol.
3%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including Emerson College (May 9-10) showing Xavier Becerra (D) at 20% and Steve Hilton (R) at 19%, alongside Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) with Hilton leading Becerra 22%-20%, position one Democrat and one Republican to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary, driving trader consensus to 73.5% on Dem-Rep. In the final debate on May 14, rivals ganged up on frontrunner Becerra over ethics scandals, including a former strategist's fraud guilty plea that day and HHS migrant placement criticisms, yet he framed attacks as frontrunner proof while defending his record. GOP consolidation behind Hilton, bolstered by his polling surge post-Eric Swalwell's April dropout, reduces Dem-Dem odds to 24.5%, with Rep-Rep at 3.3% amid Democratic voter dominance. High undecideds and early voting underway keep the field fluid ahead of ballots resolving top-two spots.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
マーケット開始日： Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
音量
$72,000終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including Emerson College (May 9-10) showing Xavier Becerra (D) at 20% and Steve Hilton (R) at 19%, alongside Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) with Hilton leading Becerra 22%-20%, position one Democrat and one Republican to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary, driving trader consensus to 73.5% on Dem-Rep. In the final debate on May 14, rivals ganged up on frontrunner Becerra over ethics scandals, including a former strategist's fraud guilty plea that day and HHS migrant placement criticisms, yet he framed attacks as frontrunner proof while defending his record. GOP consolidation behind Hilton, bolstered by his polling surge post-Eric Swalwell's April dropout, reduces Dem-Dem odds to 24.5%, with Rep-Rep at 3.3% amid Democratic voter dominance. High undecideds and early voting underway keep the field fluid ahead of ballots resolving top-two spots.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$72,000終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Emerson College (May 9-10) showing Xavier Becerra (D) at 20% and Steve Hilton (R) at 19%, alongside Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) with Hilton leading Becerra 22%-20%, position one Democrat and one Republican to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary, driving trader consensus to 73.5% on Dem-Rep. In the final debate on May 14, rivals ganged up on frontrunner Becerra over ethics scandals, including a former strategist's fraud guilty plea that day and HHS migrant placement criticisms, yet he framed attacks as frontrunner proof while defending his record. GOP consolidation behind Hilton, bolstered by his polling surge post-Eric Swalwell's April dropout, reduces Dem-Dem odds to 24.5%, with Rep-Rep at 3.3% amid Democratic voter dominance. High undecideds and early voting underway keep the field fluid ahead of ballots resolving top-two spots.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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