United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and Kremlin-aligned electoral management ahead of the September vote. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, alongside continued exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition through registration rules and legal pressures. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and dependent on controlled participation, as evidenced by recent regional results favoring United Russia candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns of supermajority outcomes, though scenarios like significant war-related public shifts or unexpected elite realignments could theoretically alter seat distributions if they materialize before voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 96.2%
新しい人々（NL） 2.1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.3%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
$1,623,561 Vol.
$1,623,561 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
96%
新しい人々（NL）
2%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
<1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
<1%
ロジナ
<1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 96.2%
新しい人々（NL） 2.1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.3%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
$1,623,561 Vol.
$1,623,561 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$552,371 Vol.
96%
新しい人々（NL）
$88,995 Vol.
2%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$113,382 Vol.
1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$102,932 Vol.
<1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
$300,677 Vol.
<1%
ロジナ
$314,949 Vol.
<1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
$150,256 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and Kremlin-aligned electoral management ahead of the September vote. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, alongside continued exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition through registration rules and legal pressures. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and dependent on controlled participation, as evidenced by recent regional results favoring United Russia candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns of supermajority outcomes, though scenarios like significant war-related public shifts or unexpected elite realignments could theoretically alter seat distributions if they materialize before voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$1,623,561終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and Kremlin-aligned electoral management ahead of the September vote. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, alongside continued exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition through registration rules and legal pressures. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and dependent on controlled participation, as evidenced by recent regional results favoring United Russia candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns of supermajority outcomes, though scenarios like significant war-related public shifts or unexpected elite realignments could theoretically alter seat distributions if they materialize before voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$1,623,561終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and Kremlin-aligned electoral management ahead of the September vote. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, alongside continued exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition through registration rules and legal pressures. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and dependent on controlled participation, as evidenced by recent regional results favoring United Russia candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns of supermajority outcomes, though scenarios like significant war-related public shifts or unexpected elite realignments could theoretically alter seat distributions if they materialize before voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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