Recent polling from July and early August 2026 shows Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton among likely voters, with margins typically within the error range. Talarico has demonstrated strength among independents, moderates, and some non-college-educated voters, while Paxton secured the GOP nomination in a May runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn following a Trump endorsement. Talarico maintains a substantial fundraising advantage that has supported consistent momentum in a state where Democratic statewide wins have been rare for decades. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness, with upcoming debates, additional surveys, and turnout patterns on core issues likely to determine whether one candidate pulls ahead before the November 3 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$756,288 Vol.
$756,288 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジェームズ・タラリコ（民主党）
52%
ケン・パクストン（共和党）
48%
$756,288 Vol.
$756,288 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジェームズ・タラリコ（民主党）
$362,695 Vol.
52%
ケン・パクストン（共和党）
$393,593 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from July and early August 2026 shows Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton among likely voters, with margins typically within the error range. Talarico has demonstrated strength among independents, moderates, and some non-college-educated voters, while Paxton secured the GOP nomination in a May runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn following a Trump endorsement. Talarico maintains a substantial fundraising advantage that has supported consistent momentum in a state where Democratic statewide wins have been rare for decades. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness, with upcoming debates, additional surveys, and turnout patterns on core issues likely to determine whether one candidate pulls ahead before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
音量
$756,288終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from July and early August 2026 shows Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton among likely voters, with margins typically within the error range. Talarico has demonstrated strength among independents, moderates, and some non-college-educated voters, while Paxton secured the GOP nomination in a May runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn following a Trump endorsement. Talarico maintains a substantial fundraising advantage that has supported consistent momentum in a state where Democratic statewide wins have been rare for decades. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness, with upcoming debates, additional surveys, and turnout patterns on core issues likely to determine whether one candidate pulls ahead before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$756,288終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from July and early August 2026 shows Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton among likely voters, with margins typically within the error range. Talarico has demonstrated strength among independents, moderates, and some non-college-educated voters, while Paxton secured the GOP nomination in a May runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn following a Trump endorsement. Talarico maintains a substantial fundraising advantage that has supported consistent momentum in a state where Democratic statewide wins have been rare for decades. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness, with upcoming debates, additional surveys, and turnout patterns on core issues likely to determine whether one candidate pulls ahead before the November 3 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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