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icon for 6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?

6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?

icon for 6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?

6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?

6月 26

6月 26

39.0〜39.4 54%

38.5~38.9 27%

39.5〜39.9 19%

38.0〜38.4 3.5%

Polymarket
新規

39.0〜39.4 54%

38.5~38.9 27%

39.5〜39.9 19%

38.0〜38.4 3.5%

Polymarket
新規

38.0未満

$287 Vol.

2%

38.0〜38.4

$485 Vol.

3%

38.5~38.9

$447 Vol.

27%

39.0〜39.4

$1,762 Vol.

54%

39.5〜39.9

$342 Vol.

19%

40.0以上

$350 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest Marist and AP-NORC surveys showing 36-37% amid record-low marks on economic handling and persistent concerns over gas prices tied to foreign policy developments. This positions the June 26 reading near the market's clustered 38-39 ranges, where trader consensus reflects limited time for major shifts before the snapshot date. Economic sentiment and any last-minute diplomatic or legislative moves remain the primary variables that could nudge the final figure higher or lower, while steady partisan divides and typical polling variance sustain the narrow spreads across nearby bins.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$3,674
終了日
2026/06/26
マーケット開始日
Jun 21, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest Marist and AP-NORC surveys showing 36-37% amid record-low marks on economic handling and persistent concerns over gas prices tied to foreign policy developments. This positions the June 26 reading near the market's clustered 38-39 ranges, where trader consensus reflects limited time for major shifts before the snapshot date. Economic sentiment and any last-minute diplomatic or legislative moves remain the primary variables that could nudge the final figure higher or lower, while steady partisan divides and typical polling variance sustain the narrow spreads across nearby bins.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$3,674
終了日
2026/06/26
マーケット開始日
Jun 21, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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よくある質問

「6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「39.0〜39.4」で54%、次いで「38.5~38.9」が27%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、54¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に54%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「39.0〜39.4」で54%であり、市場がこの結果に54%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「38.5~38.9」で27%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月26日のトランプ大統領の支持率は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。