Recent sharp declines in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index reflect elevated energy costs and geopolitical pressures. The preliminary September 2026 reading fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, driven by a resurgence in gasoline prices and ongoing trade tensions that pushed one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Expectations for personal finances and business conditions deteriorated markedly, with the expectations sub-index dropping 11.1% month-over-month. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 46.0–48.9 range ahead of the final September release on September 25, consistent with the preliminary print and sustained affordability concerns amid broader uncertainty over monetary policy and consumer spending.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日46.0〜48.9 75%
43.0から45.9 21%
43.0未満 2.9%
55.0から57.9 2.8%
$10,861 Vol.
$10,861 Vol.
2026/09/25
43.0未満
3%
43.0から45.9
21%
46.0〜48.9
75%
49.0から51.9
3%
52.0から54.9
<1%
55.0から57.9
3%
58.0以上
<1%
46.0〜48.9 75%
43.0から45.9 21%
43.0未満 2.9%
55.0から57.9 2.8%
$10,861 Vol.
$10,861 Vol.
2026/09/25
43.0未満
$755 Vol.
3%
43.0から45.9
$1,575 Vol.
21%
46.0〜48.9
$5,784 Vol.
75%
49.0から51.9
$595 Vol.
3%
52.0から54.9
$470 Vol.
<1%
55.0から57.9
$1,238 Vol.
3%
58.0以上
$442 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent sharp declines in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index reflect elevated energy costs and geopolitical pressures. The preliminary September 2026 reading fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, driven by a resurgence in gasoline prices and ongoing trade tensions that pushed one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Expectations for personal finances and business conditions deteriorated markedly, with the expectations sub-index dropping 11.1% month-over-month. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 46.0–48.9 range ahead of the final September release on September 25, consistent with the preliminary print and sustained affordability concerns amid broader uncertainty over monetary policy and consumer spending.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
音量
$10,861終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETThis is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent sharp declines in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index reflect elevated energy costs and geopolitical pressures. The preliminary September 2026 reading fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, driven by a resurgence in gasoline prices and ongoing trade tensions that pushed one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Expectations for personal finances and business conditions deteriorated markedly, with the expectations sub-index dropping 11.1% month-over-month. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 46.0–48.9 range ahead of the final September release on September 25, consistent with the preliminary print and sustained affordability concerns amid broader uncertainty over monetary policy and consumer spending.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$10,861終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETRecent sharp declines in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index reflect elevated energy costs and geopolitical pressures. The preliminary September 2026 reading fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, driven by a resurgence in gasoline prices and ongoing trade tensions that pushed one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Expectations for personal finances and business conditions deteriorated markedly, with the expectations sub-index dropping 11.1% month-over-month. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 46.0–48.9 range ahead of the final September release on September 25, consistent with the preliminary print and sustained affordability concerns amid broader uncertainty over monetary policy and consumer spending.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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