Recent diplomatic momentum has centered on coordinated recognitions at the September 2025 UN General Assembly, where the UK, Canada, Australia, France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, and Portugal formally extended recognition, bringing the total to 157 UN member states. These steps followed a July 2025 UN conference co-chaired by France and Saudi Arabia that outlined a roadmap for a two-state solution, alongside persistent advocacy from European and Arab League partners. With limited time remaining until the 2027 deadline, trader focus turns to potential holdouts among G7 and EU states such as Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands, where official positions continue to tie any move to hostage releases, Hamas removal, and progress on Palestinian Authority reforms. Upcoming UN sessions and bilateral summits through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts that could shift remaining probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$625,127 Vol.

アメリカ合衆国
7%

イタリア
16%

オランダ
19%

日本
18%

ドイツ
7%

ベルギー
19%

フィンランド
13%

オーストリア
1%

ギリシャ
11%

ニュージーランド
19%
$625,127 Vol.

アメリカ合衆国
7%

イタリア
16%

オランダ
19%

日本
18%

ドイツ
7%

ベルギー
19%

フィンランド
13%

オーストリア
1%

ギリシャ
11%

ニュージーランド
19%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum has centered on coordinated recognitions at the September 2025 UN General Assembly, where the UK, Canada, Australia, France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, and Portugal formally extended recognition, bringing the total to 157 UN member states. These steps followed a July 2025 UN conference co-chaired by France and Saudi Arabia that outlined a roadmap for a two-state solution, alongside persistent advocacy from European and Arab League partners. With limited time remaining until the 2027 deadline, trader focus turns to potential holdouts among G7 and EU states such as Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands, where official positions continue to tie any move to hostage releases, Hamas removal, and progress on Palestinian Authority reforms. Upcoming UN sessions and bilateral summits through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts that could shift remaining probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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