President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日トム・ティリス
83%
ジョン・カーティス
64%
ジョン・フェッターマン
44%
ミッチ・マコーネル
59%
リサ・マーカウスキー
50%
スーザン・コリンズ
51%
ダン・サリバン
56%
ランド・ポール
55%
ジョン・コーニン
52%
ビル・キャシディ
50%
$1,553 Vol.
トム・ティリス
83%
ジョン・カーティス
64%
ジョン・フェッターマン
44%
ミッチ・マコーネル
59%
リサ・マーカウスキー
50%
スーザン・コリンズ
51%
ダン・サリバン
56%
ランド・ポール
55%
ジョン・コーニン
52%
ビル・キャシディ
50%
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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