Recent polling shows a fragmented first-round field for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro trading narrow leads around 40-46 percent while right-wing support splits among multiple contenders. This fragmentation sustains tight odds for third place between Romeu Zema and Renan Santos, as traders weigh Zema's established name recognition from his Minas Gerais governorship against Santos's mobilization through the Free Brazil Movement. Ronaldo Caiado's lower positioning reflects similar vote-division dynamics among PSD and NOVO bases. Upcoming endorsements from state governors or shifts in economic indicators could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트레난 산투스 32%
로메우 제마 28%
호날두 카이아두 18%
미셸 보우소나루 4.5%
$282,748 거래량
$282,748 거래량
2026.10.04
레난 산투스
32%
로메우 제마
34%
호날두 카이아두
18%
미셸 보우소나루
5%
페르난두 아다지
4%
플라비우 보우소나루
3%
카밀루 산타나
1%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
1%
헤랄도 알크민
1%
에두아르두 레이트
1%
자이르 보우소나루
<1%
타르시지우 드 프레이타스
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
<1%
헬더르 바르발류
<1%
알도 헤벨루
<1%
레난 산투스 32%
로메우 제마 28%
호날두 카이아두 18%
미셸 보우소나루 4.5%
$282,748 거래량
$282,748 거래량
2026.10.04
레난 산투스
$63,821 거래량
32%
로메우 제마
$10,778 거래량
34%
호날두 카이아두
$16,763 거래량
18%
미셸 보우소나루
$4,817 거래량
5%
페르난두 아다지
$14,354 거래량
4%
플라비우 보우소나루
$7,036 거래량
3%
카밀루 산타나
$6,116 거래량
1%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
$5,286 거래량
1%
헤랄도 알크민
$4,260 거래량
1%
에두아르두 레이트
$2,559 거래량
1%
자이르 보우소나루
$4,092 거래량
<1%
타르시지우 드 프레이타스
$4,328 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
$39,622 거래량
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$654 거래량
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
$93,373 거래량
<1%
헬더르 바르발류
$354 거래량
<1%
알도 헤벨루
$4,536 거래량
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows a fragmented first-round field for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro trading narrow leads around 40-46 percent while right-wing support splits among multiple contenders. This fragmentation sustains tight odds for third place between Romeu Zema and Renan Santos, as traders weigh Zema's established name recognition from his Minas Gerais governorship against Santos's mobilization through the Free Brazil Movement. Ronaldo Caiado's lower positioning reflects similar vote-division dynamics among PSD and NOVO bases. Upcoming endorsements from state governors or shifts in economic indicators could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
거래량
$282,748종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows a fragmented first-round field for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro trading narrow leads around 40-46 percent while right-wing support splits among multiple contenders. This fragmentation sustains tight odds for third place between Romeu Zema and Renan Santos, as traders weigh Zema's established name recognition from his Minas Gerais governorship against Santos's mobilization through the Free Brazil Movement. Ronaldo Caiado's lower positioning reflects similar vote-division dynamics among PSD and NOVO bases. Upcoming endorsements from state governors or shifts in economic indicators could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
거래량
$282,748종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows a fragmented first-round field for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro trading narrow leads around 40-46 percent while right-wing support splits among multiple contenders. This fragmentation sustains tight odds for third place between Romeu Zema and Renan Santos, as traders weigh Zema's established name recognition from his Minas Gerais governorship against Santos's mobilization through the Free Brazil Movement. Ronaldo Caiado's lower positioning reflects similar vote-division dynamics among PSD and NOVO bases. Upcoming endorsements from state governors or shifts in economic indicators could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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