The close race for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential election reflects vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and centrist candidates behind frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent resignations by governors Romeu Zema of Minas Gerais and Ronaldo Caiado of Goiás to launch their bids have positioned them as credible alternatives, while Renan Santos of the Mission Party has risen quickly on anti-establishment messaging and Free Brazil Movement ties. This crowded field keeps Zema and Santos nearly tied for the position, with traders pricing limited consolidation so far. Upcoming polling releases, potential endorsements from other state leaders, or withdrawals by lower-polling contenders could shift momentum and clarify the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트로메우 제마 32%
레난 산투스 31%
호날두 카이아두 19%
미셸 보우소나루 5.0%
$281,596 거래량
$281,596 거래량

로메우 제마
32%

레난 산투스
31%

호날두 카이아두
19%

미셸 보우소나루
5%

페르난두 아다지
4%

플라비우 보우소나루
4%

헬더르 바르발류
2%

카밀루 산타나
1%

타르시지우 드 프레이타스
1%

루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
1%

Tereza Cristina
1%

자이르 보우소나루
1%

헤랄도 알크민
1%

에두아르두 레이트
1%

에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%

하치뉴 주니오르
<1%

알도 헤벨루
<1%
로메우 제마 32%
레난 산투스 31%
호날두 카이아두 19%
미셸 보우소나루 5.0%
$281,596 거래량
$281,596 거래량

로메우 제마
32%

레난 산투스
31%

호날두 카이아두
19%

미셸 보우소나루
5%

페르난두 아다지
4%

플라비우 보우소나루
4%

헬더르 바르발류
2%

카밀루 산타나
1%

타르시지우 드 프레이타스
1%

루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
1%

Tereza Cristina
1%

자이르 보우소나루
1%

헤랄도 알크민
1%

에두아르두 레이트
1%

에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%

하치뉴 주니오르
<1%

알도 헤벨루
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The close race for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential election reflects vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and centrist candidates behind frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent resignations by governors Romeu Zema of Minas Gerais and Ronaldo Caiado of Goiás to launch their bids have positioned them as credible alternatives, while Renan Santos of the Mission Party has risen quickly on anti-establishment messaging and Free Brazil Movement ties. This crowded field keeps Zema and Santos nearly tied for the position, with traders pricing limited consolidation so far. Upcoming polling releases, potential endorsements from other state leaders, or withdrawals by lower-polling contenders could shift momentum and clarify the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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