Romeu Zema and Renan Santos lead the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent national polls show the top two spots occupied by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving a fragmented field of center-right and libertarian alternatives competing for the remaining vote share. Zema, the Nova party governor of Minas Gerais, and Santos, leader of the Missão party, each poll in the low-to-mid single digits but ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other declared candidates in first-round simulations from Quaest and Ideia. The right’s division, amplified by Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility and recent legal scrutiny around Flávio, has kept third-place probabilities tightly contested. Any consolidation behind one of these contenders or shifts in turnout among anti-incumbent voters could widen the gap before October.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트로메우 제마 32%
레난 산투스 31%
호날두 카이아두 19%
미셸 보우소나루 4.4%
$280,350 거래량
$280,350 거래량
2026.10.04
로메우 제마
32%
레난 산투스
31%
호날두 카이아두
19%
미셸 보우소나루
4%
페르난두 아다지
4%
플라비우 보우소나루
3%
헬더르 바르발류
2%
카밀루 산타나
2%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
1%
타르시지우 드 프레이타스
1%
자이르 보우소나루
1%
헤랄도 알크민
1%
에두아르두 레이트
1%
Tereza Cristina
1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%
알도 헤벨루
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
<1%
로메우 제마 32%
레난 산투스 31%
호날두 카이아두 19%
미셸 보우소나루 4.4%
$280,350 거래량
$280,350 거래량
2026.10.04
로메우 제마
$10,655 거래량
32%
레난 산투스
$61,980 거래량
31%
호날두 카이아두
$16,728 거래량
19%
미셸 보우소나루
$4,817 거래량
4%
페르난두 아다지
$14,354 거래량
4%
플라비우 보우소나루
$7,036 거래량
3%
헬더르 바르발류
$132 거래량
2%
카밀루 산타나
$6,116 거래량
2%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
$5,286 거래량
1%
타르시지우 드 프레이타스
$4,328 거래량
1%
자이르 보우소나루
$4,092 거래량
1%
헤랄도 알크민
$4,260 거래량
1%
에두아르두 레이트
$2,559 거래량
1%
Tereza Cristina
$654 거래량
1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
$39,622 거래량
<1%
알도 헤벨루
$4,536 거래량
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
$93,195 거래량
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Romeu Zema and Renan Santos lead the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent national polls show the top two spots occupied by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving a fragmented field of center-right and libertarian alternatives competing for the remaining vote share. Zema, the Nova party governor of Minas Gerais, and Santos, leader of the Missão party, each poll in the low-to-mid single digits but ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other declared candidates in first-round simulations from Quaest and Ideia. The right’s division, amplified by Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility and recent legal scrutiny around Flávio, has kept third-place probabilities tightly contested. Any consolidation behind one of these contenders or shifts in turnout among anti-incumbent voters could widen the gap before October.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
거래량
$280,350종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Romeu Zema and Renan Santos lead the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent national polls show the top two spots occupied by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving a fragmented field of center-right and libertarian alternatives competing for the remaining vote share. Zema, the Nova party governor of Minas Gerais, and Santos, leader of the Missão party, each poll in the low-to-mid single digits but ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other declared candidates in first-round simulations from Quaest and Ideia. The right’s division, amplified by Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility and recent legal scrutiny around Flávio, has kept third-place probabilities tightly contested. Any consolidation behind one of these contenders or shifts in turnout among anti-incumbent voters could widen the gap before October.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
거래량
$280,350종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Romeu Zema and Renan Santos lead the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent national polls show the top two spots occupied by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving a fragmented field of center-right and libertarian alternatives competing for the remaining vote share. Zema, the Nova party governor of Minas Gerais, and Santos, leader of the Missão party, each poll in the low-to-mid single digits but ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other declared candidates in first-round simulations from Quaest and Ideia. The right’s division, amplified by Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility and recent legal scrutiny around Flávio, has kept third-place probabilities tightly contested. Any consolidation behind one of these contenders or shifts in turnout among anti-incumbent voters could widen the gap before October.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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