Latest numerical weather model consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 18 °C at Ankara’s official Esenboğa station today, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and limited solar heating across the central Anatolian plateau. This places the outcome well below the long-term mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C while aligning with current surface observations showing temperatures peaking in the upper teens. Traders assign 93.5 % implied probability to 18 °C because afternoon verification data are unlikely to exceed this threshold under stable synoptic conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly advection could still push readings to 19 °C, though both outcomes carry low market-implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온?
18°C 93.5%
19°C 3.2%
20°C 1.4%
21°C <1%
$48,296 거래량
$48,296 거래량
2026.05.17
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
94%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C 이상
<1%
18°C 93.5%
19°C 3.2%
20°C 1.4%
21°C <1%
$48,296 거래량
$48,296 거래량
2026.05.17
13°C 이하
$666 거래량
<1%
14°C
$378 거래량
<1%
15°C
$1,685 거래량
<1%
16°C
$7,264 거래량
<1%
17°C
$6,389 거래량
<1%
18°C
$6,599 거래량
94%
19°C
$5,266 거래량
3%
20°C
$4,991 거래량
1%
21°C
$6,442 거래량
<1%
22°C
$4,896 거래량
<1%
23°C 이상
$4,125 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather model consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 18 °C at Ankara’s official Esenboğa station today, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and limited solar heating across the central Anatolian plateau. This places the outcome well below the long-term mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C while aligning with current surface observations showing temperatures peaking in the upper teens. Traders assign 93.5 % implied probability to 18 °C because afternoon verification data are unlikely to exceed this threshold under stable synoptic conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly advection could still push readings to 19 °C, though both outcomes carry low market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$48,296종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather model consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 18 °C at Ankara’s official Esenboğa station today, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and limited solar heating across the central Anatolian plateau. This places the outcome well below the long-term mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C while aligning with current surface observations showing temperatures peaking in the upper teens. Traders assign 93.5 % implied probability to 18 °C because afternoon verification data are unlikely to exceed this threshold under stable synoptic conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly advection could still push readings to 19 °C, though both outcomes carry low market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$48,296종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest numerical weather model consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 18 °C at Ankara’s official Esenboğa station today, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and limited solar heating across the central Anatolian plateau. This places the outcome well below the long-term mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C while aligning with current surface observations showing temperatures peaking in the upper teens. Traders assign 93.5 % implied probability to 18 °C because afternoon verification data are unlikely to exceed this threshold under stable synoptic conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly advection could still push readings to 19 °C, though both outcomes carry low market-implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문