Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C high in Ankara today at over 85% implied probability, reflecting the latest outputs from regional forecast models and observational data showing maximum temperatures stabilizing near this level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers. Typical May climatology for central Anatolia, with daytime highs averaging 21–22°C, combines with current atmospheric conditions—moderate southwesterly flow and limited solar heating—to suppress stronger warming, keeping odds of 19°C or above below 12%. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal risk of significant deviation, as any late-day clearing would need to overcome the prevailing moisture profile to push readings higher. Real-time station updates throughout the afternoon will provide the final calibration for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온?
18°C 88%
19°C 8%
20°C 3.0%
21°C <1%
$44,680 거래량
$44,680 거래량
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
88%
19°C
14%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C 이상
<1%
18°C 88%
19°C 8%
20°C 3.0%
21°C <1%
$44,680 거래량
$44,680 거래량
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
88%
19°C
14%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C high in Ankara today at over 85% implied probability, reflecting the latest outputs from regional forecast models and observational data showing maximum temperatures stabilizing near this level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers. Typical May climatology for central Anatolia, with daytime highs averaging 21–22°C, combines with current atmospheric conditions—moderate southwesterly flow and limited solar heating—to suppress stronger warming, keeping odds of 19°C or above below 12%. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal risk of significant deviation, as any late-day clearing would need to overcome the prevailing moisture profile to push readings higher. Real-time station updates throughout the afternoon will provide the final calibration for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문