Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional ensembles have driven the near-certain 20°C outcome for Cape Town’s highest temperature on May 17 by projecting a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Western Cape. This setup favors clear skies, light south-easterly flow, and modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or onshore advection that would alter the maximum. Historical climatology for mid-May places daily highs near 18–22°C under similar synoptic patterns, providing additional context for the market’s tight clustering. The implied probability could shift only if an updated model run introduces stronger onshore winds or unexpected marine layer development before official observations at Cape Town International Airport finalize the day’s maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$20,094 거래량
$20,094 거래량
2026.05.17
14°C 이하
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C 이상
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$20,094 거래량
$20,094 거래량
2026.05.17
14°C 이하
$534 거래량
<1%
15°C
$787 거래량
<1%
16°C
$1,520 거래량
<1%
17°C
$2,076 거래량
<1%
18°C
$2,433 거래량
<1%
19°C
$3,203 거래량
<1%
20°C
$3,123 거래량
100%
21°C
$2,156 거래량
<1%
22°C
$1,622 거래량
<1%
23°C
$1,737 거래량
<1%
24°C 이상
$924 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional ensembles have driven the near-certain 20°C outcome for Cape Town’s highest temperature on May 17 by projecting a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Western Cape. This setup favors clear skies, light south-easterly flow, and modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or onshore advection that would alter the maximum. Historical climatology for mid-May places daily highs near 18–22°C under similar synoptic patterns, providing additional context for the market’s tight clustering. The implied probability could shift only if an updated model run introduces stronger onshore winds or unexpected marine layer development before official observations at Cape Town International Airport finalize the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$20,094종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional ensembles have driven the near-certain 20°C outcome for Cape Town’s highest temperature on May 17 by projecting a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Western Cape. This setup favors clear skies, light south-easterly flow, and modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or onshore advection that would alter the maximum. Historical climatology for mid-May places daily highs near 18–22°C under similar synoptic patterns, providing additional context for the market’s tight clustering. The implied probability could shift only if an updated model run introduces stronger onshore winds or unexpected marine layer development before official observations at Cape Town International Airport finalize the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$20,094종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional ensembles have driven the near-certain 20°C outcome for Cape Town’s highest temperature on May 17 by projecting a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Western Cape. This setup favors clear skies, light south-easterly flow, and modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or onshore advection that would alter the maximum. Historical climatology for mid-May places daily highs near 18–22°C under similar synoptic patterns, providing additional context for the market’s tight clustering. The implied probability could shift only if an updated model run introduces stronger onshore winds or unexpected marine layer development before official observations at Cape Town International Airport finalize the day’s maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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