Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Denver on May 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 14?
78°F or higher 99.4%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
신규
$32,103 거래량
신규
$32,103 거래량
2026.05.14
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
99%
78°F or higher 99.4%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
신규
$32,103 거래량
신규
$32,103 거래량
2026.05.14
59°F or below
$4,456 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$2,698 거래량
<1%
62-63°F
$1,713 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$2,039 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$2,895 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$1,566 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$1,769 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$2,104 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$2,230 거래량
1%
76-77°F
$3,659 거래량
1%
78°F or higher
$6,976 거래량
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$32,103종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$32,103종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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