Recent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 광저우에서 가장 높은 온도는?
27°C 100.0%
22°C 이하 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 거래량
$30,556 거래량
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C 이상
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C 이하 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 거래량
$30,556 거래량
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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