Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$887,205 거래량
$887,205 거래량
2026.04.24
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$887,205 거래량
$887,205 거래량
2026.04.24
18°C or below
$22,675 거래량
No
19°C
$22,659 거래량
No
20°C
$42,591 거래량
No
21°C
$110,182 거래량
No
22°C
$240,322 거래량
No
23°C
$153,583 거래량
Yes
24°C
$67,434 거래량
No
25°C
$50,968 거래량
No
26°C
$52,905 거래량
No
27°C
$63,694 거래량
No
28°C or higher
$60,191 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
거래량
$887,205종료일
2026.04.24마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$887,205종료일
2026.04.24마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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