Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 15일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 15일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 기온?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C 이하 <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 거래량
$292,433 거래량
2026.05.15
19°C 이하
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C 이상
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C 이하 <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 거래량
$292,433 거래량
2026.05.15
19°C 이하
$3,583 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,551 거래량
<1%
21°C
$3,480 거래량
<1%
22°C
$3,250 거래량
<1%
23°C
$3,799 거래량
<1%
24°C
$5,477 거래량
<1%
25°C
$30,336 거래량
<1%
26°C
$69,254 거래량
<1%
27°C
$89,457 거래량
100%
28°C
$45,405 거래량
<1%
29°C 이상
$35,841 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$292,433종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$292,433종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문