Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 13?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 13?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,231 거래량
$67,231 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,231 거래량
$67,231 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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