Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 14 clustering tightly around 37-38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence inversion, clear skies, and peak solar insolation typical of early May coastal conditions. This drives trader consensus with 38°C at 34% and 37°C at 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting genuine uncertainty from Red Sea sea breeze effects that moderate peaks—evident in May 10's actual 34°C versus model projections—and slight ensemble spread of 1-2°C. Historical May highs average 36-37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, per National Center of Meteorology (NCM) records. Evening model updates and NCM bulletins may refine guidance before official observations resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
38°C 32%
37°C 30%
39°C 14%
36°C 12%
$17,056 거래량
$17,056 거래량
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
12%
37°C
30%
38°C
32%
39°C
14%
40°C or higher
4%
38°C 32%
37°C 30%
39°C 14%
36°C 12%
$17,056 거래량
$17,056 거래량
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
12%
37°C
30%
38°C
32%
39°C
14%
40°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 14 clustering tightly around 37-38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence inversion, clear skies, and peak solar insolation typical of early May coastal conditions. This drives trader consensus with 38°C at 34% and 37°C at 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting genuine uncertainty from Red Sea sea breeze effects that moderate peaks—evident in May 10's actual 34°C versus model projections—and slight ensemble spread of 1-2°C. Historical May highs average 36-37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, per National Center of Meteorology (NCM) records. Evening model updates and NCM bulletins may refine guidance before official observations resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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