Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, driven by updated forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather (100°F or 38°C high) and the UK Met Office (41°C maximum) under persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, fostering clear-to-hazy skies and intense solar heating. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing at 36-37°C over the past week amid moderating Red Sea breezes following early May peaks above 40°C, but model consensus—including GFS and ECMWF runs—signals a rebound potential as light NNW winds delay coastal cooling. Official measurements from King Abdulaziz International Airport will resolve the market, with hourly updates tracking peak afternoon heat amid low humidity and heat advisories.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 67%
39°C 29%
38°C 8%
33°C <1%
$22,406 거래량
$22,406 거래량
2026.05.15
33°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
8%
39°C
29%
40°C or higher
65%
40°C or higher 67%
39°C 29%
38°C 8%
33°C <1%
$22,406 거래량
$22,406 거래량
2026.05.15
33°C
$1,699 거래량
<1%
35°C
$2,038 거래량
<1%
36°C
$5,047 거래량
<1%
37°C
$2,270 거래량
<1%
38°C
$1,419 거래량
8%
39°C
$557 거래량
29%
40°C or higher
$1,269 거래량
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, driven by updated forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather (100°F or 38°C high) and the UK Met Office (41°C maximum) under persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, fostering clear-to-hazy skies and intense solar heating. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing at 36-37°C over the past week amid moderating Red Sea breezes following early May peaks above 40°C, but model consensus—including GFS and ECMWF runs—signals a rebound potential as light NNW winds delay coastal cooling. Official measurements from King Abdulaziz International Airport will resolve the market, with hourly updates tracking peak afternoon heat amid low humidity and heat advisories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
거래량
$22,406종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, driven by updated forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather (100°F or 38°C high) and the UK Met Office (41°C maximum) under persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, fostering clear-to-hazy skies and intense solar heating. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing at 36-37°C over the past week amid moderating Red Sea breezes following early May peaks above 40°C, but model consensus—including GFS and ECMWF runs—signals a rebound potential as light NNW winds delay coastal cooling. Official measurements from King Abdulaziz International Airport will resolve the market, with hourly updates tracking peak afternoon heat amid low humidity and heat advisories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$22,406종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, driven by updated forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather (100°F or 38°C high) and the UK Met Office (41°C maximum) under persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, fostering clear-to-hazy skies and intense solar heating. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing at 36-37°C over the past week amid moderating Red Sea breezes following early May peaks above 40°C, but model consensus—including GFS and ECMWF runs—signals a rebound potential as light NNW winds delay coastal cooling. Official measurements from King Abdulaziz International Airport will resolve the market, with hourly updates tracking peak afternoon heat amid low humidity and heat advisories.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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