Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,017 거래량
$30,017 거래량
2026.05.15
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
Yes
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,017 거래량
$30,017 거래량
2026.05.15
30°C or below
$1,305 거래량
No
31°C
$1,611 거래량
No
32°C
$2,181 거래량
No
33°C
$1,709 거래량
No
34°C
$3,185 거래량
No
35°C
$2,072 거래량
No
36°C
$5,047 거래량
No
37°C
$2,300 거래량
No
38°C
$3,433 거래량
No
39°C
$4,174 거래량
No
40°C or higher
$2,998 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
거래량
$30,017종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$30,017종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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