Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus, aligned with historical mid-May climatology for southeast England, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble agreement leaves minimal scope for deviation, though late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically nudge readings toward 19°C. Current model spreads keep the chance of 20°C or higher negligible, while official verification from the Met Office will resolve the market once final hourly observations are confirmed at standard London stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,420 거래량
$158,420 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,420 거래량
$158,420 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
$997 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,915 거래량
<1%
12°C
$8,287 거래량
<1%
13°C
$12,717 거래량
<1%
14°C
$13,308 거래량
<1%
15°C
$19,210 거래량
<1%
16°C
$26,721 거래량
<1%
17°C
$30,362 거래량
<1%
18°C
$19,147 거래량
100%
19°C
$19,232 거래량
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus, aligned with historical mid-May climatology for southeast England, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble agreement leaves minimal scope for deviation, though late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically nudge readings toward 19°C. Current model spreads keep the chance of 20°C or higher negligible, while official verification from the Met Office will resolve the market once final hourly observations are confirmed at standard London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$158,420종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus, aligned with historical mid-May climatology for southeast England, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble agreement leaves minimal scope for deviation, though late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically nudge readings toward 19°C. Current model spreads keep the chance of 20°C or higher negligible, while official verification from the Met Office will resolve the market once final hourly observations are confirmed at standard London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$158,420종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus, aligned with historical mid-May climatology for southeast England, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble agreement leaves minimal scope for deviation, though late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically nudge readings toward 19°C. Current model spreads keep the chance of 20°C or higher negligible, while official verification from the Met Office will resolve the market once final hourly observations are confirmed at standard London stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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