Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,151 거래량
$158,151 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,151 거래량
$158,151 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
$997 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,915 거래량
<1%
12°C
$8,287 거래량
<1%
13°C
$12,717 거래량
<1%
14°C
$13,308 거래량
<1%
15°C
$19,210 거래량
<1%
16°C
$26,720 거래량
<1%
17°C
$30,257 거래량
<1%
18°C
$19,141 거래량
100%
19°C
$19,226 거래량
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$158,151종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$158,151종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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