Recent Met Office forecast updates have established 15°C as the leading daily high for London on May 18, matching the 42.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A stable westerly airflow combined with moderate Atlantic cloud cover is expected to cap afternoon temperatures slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C, with ensemble models showing limited warming potential through the day. Traders are weighting these short-range meteorological signals and historical analogs heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum reading. Morning forecast revisions from the Met Office could further refine consensus before the peak temperature is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
15°C 43%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 5.7%
신규
$41,837 거래량
신규
$41,837 거래량
2026.05.18
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
21%
15°C
43%
16°C
27%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 43%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 5.7%
신규
$41,837 거래량
신규
$41,837 거래량
2026.05.18
8°C or below
$1,891 거래량
<1%
9°C
$6,300 거래량
<1%
10°C
$1,833 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,588 거래량
<1%
12°C
$3,055 거래량
1%
13°C
$4,731 거래량
4%
14°C
$3,548 거래량
21%
15°C
$3,973 거래량
43%
16°C
$5,205 거래량
27%
17°C
$4,235 거래량
6%
18°C or higher
$5,701 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office forecast updates have established 15°C as the leading daily high for London on May 18, matching the 42.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A stable westerly airflow combined with moderate Atlantic cloud cover is expected to cap afternoon temperatures slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C, with ensemble models showing limited warming potential through the day. Traders are weighting these short-range meteorological signals and historical analogs heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum reading. Morning forecast revisions from the Met Office could further refine consensus before the peak temperature is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$41,837종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office forecast updates have established 15°C as the leading daily high for London on May 18, matching the 42.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A stable westerly airflow combined with moderate Atlantic cloud cover is expected to cap afternoon temperatures slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C, with ensemble models showing limited warming potential through the day. Traders are weighting these short-range meteorological signals and historical analogs heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum reading. Morning forecast revisions from the Met Office could further refine consensus before the peak temperature is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$41,837종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Met Office forecast updates have established 15°C as the leading daily high for London on May 18, matching the 42.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A stable westerly airflow combined with moderate Atlantic cloud cover is expected to cap afternoon temperatures slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C, with ensemble models showing limited warming potential through the day. Traders are weighting these short-range meteorological signals and historical analogs heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum reading. Morning forecast revisions from the Met Office could further refine consensus before the peak temperature is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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