Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 39–41°C on May 17 under dry pre-monsoon conditions typical for the Ganges plain. This range aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and current model consensus showing limited moisture and moderate westerly flow that suppresses extreme heat. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 41°C-or-below bracket, reflecting both the official guidance and the narrow window before any late-day convective activity could alter the recorded high. Updated IMD bulletins and next-model runs scheduled for the afternoon will provide the final observational data used for market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 온도는?
41°C or below 59%
42°C 36%
43°C 3.8%
44°C 1.9%
$18,432 거래량
$18,432 거래량
41°C or below
59%
42°C
36%
43°C
4%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 59%
42°C 36%
43°C 3.8%
44°C 1.9%
$18,432 거래량
$18,432 거래량
41°C or below
59%
42°C
36%
43°C
4%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 39–41°C on May 17 under dry pre-monsoon conditions typical for the Ganges plain. This range aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and current model consensus showing limited moisture and moderate westerly flow that suppresses extreme heat. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 41°C-or-below bracket, reflecting both the official guidance and the narrow window before any late-day convective activity could alter the recorded high. Updated IMD bulletins and next-model runs scheduled for the afternoon will provide the final observational data used for market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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