Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and global numerical weather models indicate Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 18 will likely remain near or below 42 °C, driven by persistent moisture advection from the Bay of Bengal and possible cloud cover associated with a weak western disturbance. These conditions are suppressing daytime heating during the peak pre-monsoon period, when climatological averages for mid-May normally range from 40 °C to 44 °C. Recent observations across Uttar Pradesh show maximums 2–4 °C below seasonal norms, reinforcing trader consensus that the 42 °C-or-below bracket holds the dominant implied probability. Model guidance through the 18th continues to favor limited insolation and modest upper-level cooling, though any rapid clearing could still allow isolated pockets to reach 43 °C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
42°C or below 79%
43°C 13%
44°C 6%
45°C 1.5%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
42°C or below
79%
43°C
13%
44°C
6%
45°C
2%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
<1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 79%
43°C 13%
44°C 6%
45°C 1.5%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
42°C or below
$67 거래량
79%
43°C
$40 거래량
13%
44°C
$41 거래량
6%
45°C
$148 거래량
2%
46°C
$113 거래량
<1%
47°C
$216 거래량
<1%
48°C
$170 거래량
<1%
49°C
$424 거래량
<1%
50°C
$802 거래량
<1%
51°C
$973 거래량
<1%
52°C or higher
$573 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and global numerical weather models indicate Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 18 will likely remain near or below 42 °C, driven by persistent moisture advection from the Bay of Bengal and possible cloud cover associated with a weak western disturbance. These conditions are suppressing daytime heating during the peak pre-monsoon period, when climatological averages for mid-May normally range from 40 °C to 44 °C. Recent observations across Uttar Pradesh show maximums 2–4 °C below seasonal norms, reinforcing trader consensus that the 42 °C-or-below bracket holds the dominant implied probability. Model guidance through the 18th continues to favor limited insolation and modest upper-level cooling, though any rapid clearing could still allow isolated pockets to reach 43 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$3,567종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and global numerical weather models indicate Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 18 will likely remain near or below 42 °C, driven by persistent moisture advection from the Bay of Bengal and possible cloud cover associated with a weak western disturbance. These conditions are suppressing daytime heating during the peak pre-monsoon period, when climatological averages for mid-May normally range from 40 °C to 44 °C. Recent observations across Uttar Pradesh show maximums 2–4 °C below seasonal norms, reinforcing trader consensus that the 42 °C-or-below bracket holds the dominant implied probability. Model guidance through the 18th continues to favor limited insolation and modest upper-level cooling, though any rapid clearing could still allow isolated pockets to reach 43 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$3,567종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts and global numerical weather models indicate Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 18 will likely remain near or below 42 °C, driven by persistent moisture advection from the Bay of Bengal and possible cloud cover associated with a weak western disturbance. These conditions are suppressing daytime heating during the peak pre-monsoon period, when climatological averages for mid-May normally range from 40 °C to 44 °C. Recent observations across Uttar Pradesh show maximums 2–4 °C below seasonal norms, reinforcing trader consensus that the 42 °C-or-below bracket holds the dominant implied probability. Model guidance through the 18th continues to favor limited insolation and modest upper-level cooling, though any rapid clearing could still allow isolated pockets to reach 43 °C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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