India Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 온도는?
41°C or below 99.6%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,370 거래량
$40,370 거래량
2026.05.17
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.6%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,370 거래량
$40,370 거래량
2026.05.17
41°C or below
$6,745 거래량
100%
42°C
$3,096 거래량
<1%
43°C
$3,992 거래량
<1%
44°C
$5,343 거래량
<1%
45°C
$3,118 거래량
<1%
46°C
$2,551 거래량
<1%
47°C
$6,418 거래량
<1%
48°C
$6,412 거래량
<1%
49°C
$862 거래량
<1%
50°C
$908 거래량
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$40,370종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$40,370종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETIndia Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문