India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 온도는?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,262 거래량
$44,262 거래량
2026.05.17
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,262 거래량
$44,262 거래량
2026.05.17
41°C or below
$9,267 거래량
100%
42°C
$3,228 거래량
<1%
43°C
$4,330 거래량
<1%
44°C
$5,366 거래량
<1%
45°C
$3,133 거래량
<1%
46°C
$2,804 거래량
<1%
47°C
$6,569 거래량
<1%
48°C
$6,610 거래량
<1%
49°C
$862 거래량
<1%
50°C
$908 거래량
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$44,262종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$44,262종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETIndia Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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