Latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model ensembles project a maximum temperature of around 20-22°C for Madrid on May 14, aligning trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C at 26.5%. This consensus reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell, including 18.4°C max on May 12 at Retiro station and 19°C forecast for May 13, under northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing extremes. Mid-May climatology supports highs near 22°C on average, with model spreads of 20-24°C capturing inherent forecast uncertainty from variable mixing heights and frontal influences. Watch evening AEMET updates and Barajas Airport observations for resolution, as diel heating could tip toward 23°C (17%).
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
22°C 47%
21°C 26%
23°C 25%
20°C 8%
신규
$17,539 거래량
신규
$17,539 거래량
2026.05.14
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
26%
22°C
47%
23°C
25%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 26%
23°C 25%
20°C 8%
신규
$17,539 거래량
신규
$17,539 거래량
2026.05.14
18°C or below
$2,951 거래량
<1%
19°C
$1,890 거래량
1%
20°C
$2,423 거래량
8%
21°C
$1,850 거래량
26%
22°C
$1,418 거래량
47%
23°C
$1,262 거래량
25%
24°C
$2,047 거래량
3%
25°C
$1,322 거래량
1%
26°C
$443 거래량
1%
27°C
$886 거래량
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,067 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model ensembles project a maximum temperature of around 20-22°C for Madrid on May 14, aligning trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C at 26.5%. This consensus reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell, including 18.4°C max on May 12 at Retiro station and 19°C forecast for May 13, under northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing extremes. Mid-May climatology supports highs near 22°C on average, with model spreads of 20-24°C capturing inherent forecast uncertainty from variable mixing heights and frontal influences. Watch evening AEMET updates and Barajas Airport observations for resolution, as diel heating could tip toward 23°C (17%).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
거래량
$17,539종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model ensembles project a maximum temperature of around 20-22°C for Madrid on May 14, aligning trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C at 26.5%. This consensus reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell, including 18.4°C max on May 12 at Retiro station and 19°C forecast for May 13, under northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing extremes. Mid-May climatology supports highs near 22°C on average, with model spreads of 20-24°C capturing inherent forecast uncertainty from variable mixing heights and frontal influences. Watch evening AEMET updates and Barajas Airport observations for resolution, as diel heating could tip toward 23°C (17%).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,539종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ETLatest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model ensembles project a maximum temperature of around 20-22°C for Madrid on May 14, aligning trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C at 26.5%. This consensus reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell, including 18.4°C max on May 12 at Retiro station and 19°C forecast for May 13, under northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing extremes. Mid-May climatology supports highs near 22°C on average, with model spreads of 20-24°C capturing inherent forecast uncertainty from variable mixing heights and frontal influences. Watch evening AEMET updates and Barajas Airport observations for resolution, as diel heating could tip toward 23°C (17%).
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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